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Syndication

Brian Burke returns to the show for the final podcast of the season. He and Dave kick off the episode with a NFL rules brainstorming session. They discuss some of Brian's (and readers') ideas for creative rule changes the league could implement to make the game more interesting and fun.

Brian then dives into an explanation of his latest article on the value of a time out. He describes his process for analyzing the win probability ramifications of "burning" time outs, and why sometimes it's better for a team to make any choice rather than use a valuable resource debating the optimum choice. 

Dave and Brian then spend some time looking at Brian's win prediction model for the Superbowl, and why it looks to be a very close match-up. To wrap up the episode they use the Franchise Season Plot tool to take a look back at the 2013 season.

Direct download: 018_AdvNFLStats.BrianBurke.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

Kevin Quealy, graphics editor at the New York Times, comes on the show to discuss data visualizations. An expert in using data to tell visual stories, Kevin walks Dave through the process he and the graphics department use to tell news-worthy stories with data and graphics.

Kevin describes some of his recent sports work, including a graph of longest QB start streaks, the 4th Down Bot and his NFL draft success chart. He talks about how he and his team begin their work process by looking for interesting stories and data-sets, and how those stories go through a variety of iterations before they are turned into visually striking charts. Kevin explains his criteria for what makes a great visualization and provides some helpful tips for aspiring information designers.

Direct download: 017_AdvNFLStats.Kevin.Quealy.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

Keith Goldner is back on the podcast to discuss this past weekend's divisional round playoff games. Keith is the chief analyst at Numberfire and also a regular contributor to Advanced NFL Stats. Dave and Keith begin by discussing some of the key decisions from the past weekend's playoff games, including whether Marshawn Lynch should've gone down at the one yard line at the end of the Seattle/New Orleans game, Riverboat Ron's goal line strategies and what to do when a punt is botched and the snap ends up in the end zone.

 

Keith reviews his lists of the regular season's most efficient quarterbacks and running backs and explains the differences between high efficiency and high success rate player performance. Dave and Keith round out the episode by previewing this weekend's AFC and NFC championship games, and Keith predicts which teams he expects to see playing for a ring in New York this February.

Direct download: 016_AdvNFLStats.Keith.Goldner.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

Alok Pattani of ESPN Stats & Info joins Dave to discuss how ESPN uses analytics across multiple platforms. They discuss his team's research on NFL pass protection, EPA vs YPG, and offensive pace. Alok provides his thoughts on this weekend's divisional round games and makes predictions.

Direct download: 015_AdvNFLStats.AlokPattani.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:00am PDT

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