Advanced Football Analytics

Categories

Football

Archives

2016
January

2015
December
November
October
September
August
April
February
January

2014
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
February
January

2013
December
November
October
September

June 2014
S M T W T F S
     
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14
15 16 17 18 19 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28
29 30

Syndication

 

Mike Sando (ESPN) returns to the podcast to recap his list of the best and worst offseason player acquisitions. Mike and Dave discuss the challenges of building a roster through veteran acquisitions, and review Mike’s picks for 2015 NFL MVP. They look at which coaches are on the hot seat, and debate which potential coaching vacancies present the best opportunities for success. The episode ends with a deep dive into Mike’s daily work covering the NFL. He provides Dave some detailed pointers on how he watches live and televised games in order to learn the most about team personnel and individual matchups.

Direct download: 039_AFAPodcast.Mike.Sando.12.18.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Chase Stuart (Football Perspective) returns to discuss the college football playoffs, analyze long term trends in NFL passing offense and preview week 15 matchups. Chase and Dave look at the teams with fluid QB situations going into next season and predict which teams are the best destinations for the top college QB prospects. The episode wraps up with a look at the Baltimore Ravens and this Sunday’s Dallas/Philadelphia and Houston/Indianapolis games.

Direct download: 038_AFAPodcast.Chase.Stuart.12.11.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Kevin Quinn, Economics Professor at St. Norbert College (WI) and author of “The Business of the NFL” and “Sports and Their Fans”, is on to discuss his research on the economics of the NFL. Professor Quinn outlines his model for optimizing owner behavior and explains the value of regional monopoly power in sports. He and Dave discuss the state of NFL ownership and how the current media contract helped shape the modern NFL. They conclude with a look how different economic tools can be used to model NFL team success on the field and weigh the advantages of each.

Direct download: 037_AFAPodcast.Kevin.Quinn.11.27.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

Kevin Kelley, Head Coach of Pulaski Academy (Little Rock, AR), is on the show this week to discuss his unique strategic philosophy. Known as the “coach who never punts”, Coach Kelley has leveraged his offensive acumen, love of advanced stats and commitment to onside kicking to lead his team to three state championships since 2003. He and Dave break down the data underlying his strategies, dive into the details of how he executes his special teams plays and discuss the differing ways the football world has responded to his success.

Direct download: 036_AFAPodcast.Kevin.Kelley.11.27.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Brian Burke is back on the podcast to answer reader and listener questions. Digging into the email and twitter archives, Brian and Dave dig up some of their favorite and most difficult to answer questions from the past few years. From the implications of intentional penalties to predicting kicker success, this episode covers a little bit of everything in the world of Advanced Football Analytics.

Direct download: 035_AFAPodcast.Brian.Burke.11.19.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Neil Paine (Senior Sportswriter, FiveThirtyEight) discusses with Dave how he and the team at FiveThirtyEight use Elo scores to rank NFL teams and explains how his research on backup quarterbacks led to surprising conclusions on the importance of backup QB skill level. Dave then digs up some of Neil’s older research examining how much individual wide receivers are responsible for their quarterback’s success. They close out the show with a look at the structure of the NFL playoffs and weigh the pros and cons of Neil’s proposal to make the NFL postseason more “fair”.

Direct download: 034_AFAPodcast.Neil.Paine.11.11.14.pod.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Keith Goldner, Chief Analyst at Numberfire.com and regular AFA contributor, rejoins the show to break down the best and worst individual player performances this season. Keith and Dave discuss the optimal strategy for goal to go offensive play-calling, and examine the underlying reasons behind the net expected point (NEP) production of the NFL's top QBs, RBs, and WR/TEs.

Direct download: 033_AFAPodcast.Keith.Goldner.11.6.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Alok Pattani (ESPN Stats and Info) rejoins the podcast to break down the new college football playoffs process. Alok explains the statistics he and his colleagues at ESPN developed to frame the on-air debate over which teams are the “best” vs. which teams “deserve” to be selected by the playoff committee. Dave and Alok analyze the first set of rankings released this week while Alok shares takeaways from his conversations with committee representatives and makes his probabilistic predictions for which teams will make the “Football Final Four”.

Direct download: 032_AFAPodcast.Alok.Pattani.10.29.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

 

Brian Burke is on the podcast for an (almost) mid-season recap of the NFL season. Dave and Brian go team by team and dive into some of the more interesting 2014 team successes and failures. They also highlight visualizations and tools buried deep in the new AFA site, and make some predictions for what to expect in the second half of the season.

Direct download: 031_AFAPodcast.Brian.Burke.10.23.14.final.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT

The AFA podcast is back with a brand new episode featuring sports economist Dave Berri, author of “The Wages of Wins” and “Stumbling on Wins”. Dave and Dave begin with a discussion of the Detroit Lions recent success, and look at some of Professor Berri’s research on the predictive power of quarterback stats. Professor Berri then explains his views on the business of college football through the lens of labor economics and describes what it was like to testify during the Northwestern unionization hearings.

Direct download: 030_AFAPodcast.Dave.Berri.10.17.14.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:30am PDT