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Syndication

Keith Goldner, chief analyst at Numberfire and a regular contributor to Advanced NFL Stats, joins Dave to discuss his recent research. Keith begins by outlining his Markov model for football, explaining how to use historical data to calculate the probability of an offensive drive ending in a particular "end state". The two then discuss the concept of "net expected points", and compare and contrast its value as a tool in combination with other efficiency stats. The show ends with a detailed analysis of two fourth down decisions from last week's games, highlighting the frustrating difference between good process and good results.

Direct download: 002_AdvNFLStats_KeithGoldner_FINAL.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 12:00am PDT

In the show’s first episode, host Dave Collins is joined by Brian Burke, founder of AdvancedNFLStats.com, to talk about his background and why he began researching the NFL. Brian breaks down some of his most poweful metrics, and provides context into the current state of pro football data analysis. They also preview some early season trends, and try to figure out just how bad the Jaguars really are.

Direct download: 001_AdvNFLStats_BrianBurke_FINAL.mp3
Category:Football -- posted at: 9:30pm PDT

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